Dave’s Newsletter

BTC: Expect the Unexpected

Can Past Cycles Help with Predictions of Present Ones?

Dec 2 • dave the wave

9

November 2025

The Tipping Point from the Technical Perspective

Break of the 1 Year MA

Nov 17 • dave the wave

10

1

Bitcoin and Longer-Term MACDs

Review

Nov 3 • dave the wave

11

1

October 2025

DEFCON Article 3

A System to Manage Risk

Oct 19 • dave the wave

10

Rethinking the Theory of a 4 Year Cycle

Dear Readers,

Oct 2 • dave the wave

10

September 2025

A BTC 4th Quarter Scenario

And a Review of the Multi-Year Cycle

Sep 16 • dave the wave

9

DEFCON Continued

A Stress-Test Scenario Updated

Sep 1 • dave the wave

4

August 2025

A DEFCON System to Manage the Bear Psychology

Safeguarding Against Calling a Top Too Soon

Aug 18 • dave the wave

8

1

Review of the Log MACD on Various Time-Frames

A Major Momentum Indicator

Aug 4 • dave the wave

10

July 2025

Breakout and Projection of Highs

A Predicted Range for Peak Price

Jul 16 • dave the wave

13

An Extended Technical Argument for Higher Prices This Year

Fibonacci Consolidations and Extensions

Jul 2 • dave the wave

9

1

June 2025

Prediction and Confirmation of a Maturing Market in BTC

Implications for This Cycle and the Following

Jun 16 • dave the wave

8